AMY 9 · AI + QUANT MLB TOTALS INTELLIGENCE

AMY 9 Over / Under Betting Board Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Operational board date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 · Data updated: 2:27 AM ET

O/U Bet Status
Not Locked Locked

Locked means the bet’s side, line, odds, and model terms were frozen at T-10 and cannot change. Official status is tracked separately.

Qualified Model Trades

TODAY'S THREE HIGHEST-RANKED SIMULATION PICKS — RESEARCH ONLY, NOT OFFICIAL WAGERS. These always show the model's preferred side while release and performance gates independently determine whether a pick can become official.

WATCH
BEST CURRENT BET · #1 PUSH BOX SCORE ↗
STATE GRADED EVIDENCE 6/6 MODEL OU_V9
FINAL SCORE Philadelphia Phillies 4 - Atlanta Braves 3
TOTAL RUNS 7
↗ BOX SCORE
Philadelphia Phillies
AWAY
VS
Atlanta Braves
HOME
O/U LINE
LEAN UNDER 7.0
BET SCORE 68.1
AI SCORE NA
EDGE -0.40
DATA 5/6
BOOK TOTAL 7.0
MODEL TOTAL 6.6
LIVE MARKET DraftKings
QUOTE · UTC 2:55 PM
OVER · UNDER · PUSH 41.5 · 49.1 · 9.4%
95% RANGE -1.6–14.8
AI ADJUSTMENT PENDING
GAME TIME
2:00 PM ET
STATUS
FINISHED
O/U AI BREAKDOWN
WEATHER -0.04 runs
PARK +0.01 runs
PITCHER -0.47 runs
BULLPEN -0.38 runs
LINEUP -0.04 runs
MARKET +0.00 runs
AWAITING LIVE FEEDS
Market movement

WHY THIS TOTAL

The model projects 6.6 runs, 0.4 below the 7.0 book total, supporting the Under. The strongest supporting signals are starting pitching (-0.47 runs) and bullpens (-0.38 runs).

Final explanation from the frozen T-10 snapshot.

ENVIRONMENT

Clear sky Played at Truist Park.

O/U MATH

  • Sportsbook Total:7.0
  • Model Total:6.6
  • Edge:-0.40
  • Weather:66°
  • Wind:9 mph
  • Park Factor:1.01
Bet Score: 68.1
WATCH
CURRENT CANDIDATE · #2 WIN BOX SCORE ↗
STATE GRADED EVIDENCE 6/6 MODEL OU_V9
FINAL SCORE Chicago White Sox 7 - Houston Astros 3
TOTAL RUNS 10
↗ BOX SCORE
Chicago White Sox
AWAY
VS
Houston Astros
HOME
O/U LINE
LEAN OVER 7.5
BET SCORE 69.9
AI SCORE NA
EDGE +0.56
DATA 5/6
BOOK TOTAL 7.5
MODEL TOTAL 8.1
LIVE MARKET DraftKings
QUOTE · UTC 8:45 PM
OVER · UNDER · PUSH 55.3 · 44.7 · 0.0%
95% RANGE -0.2–16.3
AI ADJUSTMENT PENDING
GAME TIME
5:00 PM ET
STATUS
FINISHED
O/U AI BREAKDOWN
WEATHER +0.25 runs
PARK +0.01 runs
PITCHER -0.34 runs
BULLPEN +0.38 runs
LINEUP +0.15 runs
MARKET +0.00 runs
AWAITING LIVE FEEDS
Market movement

WHY THIS TOTAL

The model projects 8.1 runs, 0.6 above the 7.5 book total, supporting the Over. The strongest supporting signals are bullpens (+0.38 runs) and weather (+0.25 runs).

Final explanation from the frozen T-10 snapshot.

ENVIRONMENT

Few clouds Played at Daikin Park.

O/U MATH

  • Sportsbook Total:7.5
  • Model Total:8.1
  • Edge:+0.56
  • Weather:93°
  • Wind:15 mph
  • Park Factor:1.01
Bet Score: 69.9
WATCH Locked
CURRENT CANDIDATE · #3 OPEN BOX SCORE ↗
STATE TRACKED EVIDENCE 6/6 MODEL OU_V9
Chicago Cubs
AWAY
VS
San Diego Padres
HOME
O/U LINE
BEST GUESS OVER 7.0
BET SCORE 64.0
AI SCORE NA
EDGE +0.03
DATA 6/6
BOOK TOTAL 7.0
MODEL TOTAL 7.0
LIVE MARKET DraftKings
QUOTE · UTC 1:45 AM
OVER · UNDER · PUSH 45.5 · 45.0 · 9.5%
95% RANGE -1.2–15.3
AI ADJUSTMENT PENDING
GAME TIME
10:00 PM ET
COUNTDOWN
Loading...
O/U AI BREAKDOWN
WEATHER +0.02 runs
PARK -0.05 runs
PITCHER -0.37 runs
BULLPEN +0.09 runs
LINEUP +0.10 runs
MARKET -0.09 runs
AWAITING LIVE FEEDS

WHY THIS TOTAL

The model projects 7.0 runs, 0.0 above the 7.0 book total, supporting the Over. The strongest supporting signals are lineups (+0.10 runs) and bullpens (+0.09 runs).

Final explanation from the frozen T-10 snapshot.

ENVIRONMENT

Clear sky Played at Petco Park.

O/U MATH

  • Sportsbook Total:7.0
  • Model Total:7.0
  • Edge:+0.03
  • Weather:72°
  • Wind:6 mph
  • Park Factor:0.96
Bet Score: 64.0
AI Totals Learning Summary

The AI Totals engine continuously evaluates every MLB matchup using historical performance, current season trends, projected lineups, starting pitchers, weather, ballpark characteristics, market movement, and proprietary machine learning models.

Each matchup is scored for both predicted edge and confidence. The system continuously learns from completed official picks, recalibrates performance over time, and measures historical accuracy across confidence levels.

Only completed official picks are included in public performance statistics, ensuring transparent and consistent long-term tracking.

O/U Lock Rule

A ranked candidate is not an official pick until every evidence and quality gate passes.

The system continuously monitors inputs, performs its last full poll at T-15, and freezes the final decision at T-10. A qualifying wager is then marked LOCKED.

After a pick is LOCKED, the matchup, side, betting line, and official rank never change. Only the final result (WIN, LOSS, PUSH, or VOID) is recorded after grading.

ALL OVER / UNDER PICKS: Wednesday, September 30, 2026

CURRENT TOP 3 are previews only and do not count as official bets unless marked LOCKED. OTHER O/U picks are displayed for research only and do not affect the record boxes.

TIME COUNTDOWN MATCHUP PICK BOOK MARKET MODEL LOCK STATUS EDGE BET SCORE AI ADJ WEATHER PARK STADIUM RESULT SCORE
10:00 PM ET Loading...
Chicago Cubs
vs
San Diego Padres
TRACKED · 6/6 		Best Guess Over BEST GUESS · INTERNAL PASS P 45.5% EV -8.5%
DraftKings
7.0
O -125 U +104
7.0 Locked +0.03 64.0 PENDING 72° / 6 mph -0.05
0.96 		Petco Park PENDING
Pending
8:00 PM ET Loading...
Boston Red Sox
vs
New York Yankees
TRACKED · 6/6 		Watch Under P 52.3% EV +5.6%
DraftKings
6.5
O -123 U +102
6.3 Locked -0.24 65.8 PENDING 68° / 9 mph 0.03
1.02 		Yankee Stadium PENDING
Pending
2:00 PM ET FINISHED
Philadelphia Phillies
vs
Atlanta Braves
GRADED · 6/6 		Lean Under P 49.1% EV +6.6%
DraftKings
7.0
O -118 U -102
6.6 Locked -0.40 68.1 PENDING 66° / 9 mph 0.01
1.01 		Truist Park PUSH
Philadelphia Phillies 4 - Atlanta Braves 3
5:00 PM ET FINISHED
Chicago White Sox
vs
Houston Astros
GRADED · 6/6 		Lean Over P 55.3% EV +6.5%
DraftKings
7.5
O -108 U -112
8.1 Locked +0.56 69.9 PENDING 93° / 15 mph 0.01
1.01 		Daikin Park WIN
Chicago White Sox 7 - Houston Astros 3

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

TIME COUNTDOWN MATCHUP PICK BOOK MARKET MODEL LOCK STATUS EDGE BET SCORE AI ADJ WEATHER PARK STADIUM RESULT SCORE
8:00 PM ET FINISHED
Boston Red Sox
vs
New York Yankees
 Lean Under 6.0
DraftKings
6.0
O -115 U -105
5.5 Locked -0.49 70.9 +0.0 66° / 12 mph 0.03
1.02 		Yankee Stadium
open 		LOSS
New York Yankees 9 - Boston Red Sox 0
5:00 PM ET FINISHED
Chicago White Sox
vs
Houston Astros
 Watch Over 8.0
DraftKings
8.0
O -115 U -105
8.3 Locked +0.32 66.4 +0.0 86° / 14 mph 0.01
1.01 		Daikin Park
retractable 		WIN
Chicago White Sox 6 - Houston Astros 3
2:00 PM ET FINISHED
Philadelphia Phillies
vs
Atlanta Braves
 Watch Under 6.5
DraftKings
6.5
O -120 U -101
6.2 Locked -0.28 66.3 +0.0 80° / 6 mph 0.01
1.01 		Truist Park
open 		LOSS
Atlanta Braves 5 - Philadelphia Phillies 3
10:00 PM ET FINISHED
Chicago Cubs
vs
San Diego Padres
 Watch Over 7.0
DraftKings
7.0
O -119 U -101
7.3 Locked +0.34 68.4 +0.0 75° / 7 mph -0.05
0.96 		Petco Park
open 		WIN
San Diego Padres 8 - Chicago Cubs 0
O/U Daily Schedule

Data intake begins at 7:05 AM ET, followed by the morning analysis pipeline. The current board stays at the top of this screen while projections, market data, weather, pitching, and AI scoring refresh. Every bet freezes at T-10; evidence and quality gates separately determine whether it becomes official. Graded results remain visible above this morning analysis section.

Morning AI Injection
  • Wind direction and stadium weather effects
  • Pitcher volatility versus market totals
  • Bullpen fatigue and late scoring environments
  • Run-environment mismatches between model and sportsbooks
  • Learning from previous Over / Under grading results
MODEL VALIDATION

Bet Score Calibration

Results use each day's ranked Top 3 from append-only T-10 prediction snapshots across model versions. Last Month means the previous calendar month. Pushes are excluded from win rate.

Last 7 DaysRanked Top 3
Bet Score Band Picks W L Push Win Rate
85-99 Strong 0 0 0 0 —
75-84 Lean 2 2 0 0
100.0%
50-74 Watch 52 22 28 2
44.0%
Below 50 / Best Guess 0 0 0 0 —
Last 30 DaysRanked Top 3
Bet Score Band Picks W L Push Win Rate
85-99 Strong 0 0 0 0 —
75-84 Lean 14 8 6 0
57.1%
50-74 Watch 318 156 149 13
51.1%
Below 50 / Best Guess 0 0 0 0 —
Last MonthRanked Top 3
Bet Score Band Picks W L Push Win Rate
85-99 Strong 1 0 1 0
0.0%
75-84 Lean 7 4 3 0
57.1%
50-74 Watch 262 130 118 14
52.4%
Below 50 / Best Guess 0 0 0 0 —