AI + QUANT MLB TOTALS INTELLIGENCE

AI Over / Under Betting Board Saturday, August 1, 2026

Operational board date: Saturday, August 1, 2026 · Data updated: 6:05 PM ET

O/U Trade Lifecycle
WATCHLIST MONITORING LOCKING SOON LOCK READY OFFICIAL TRADE LONG SHOT REJECTED
O/U Daily Schedule

Data intake begins at 7:05 AM ET, followed by the morning analysis pipeline. The system continuously updates projections, market data, weather, pitching, and AI scoring throughout the morning. At 11:05 AM ET, the board is officially locked and the top Over/Under selections are finalized as official trades for the day. After the lock, picks remain fixed and are graded against final game results the following morning.

Current O/U AI Focus
  • Wind direction and stadium weather effects
  • Pitcher volatility versus market totals
  • Bullpen fatigue and late scoring environments
  • Run-environment mismatches between model and sportsbooks
  • Learning from previous Over / Under grading results

Tracked O/U Rankings

TRACKED OVER/UNDER PICKS — NOT OFFICIAL. Today’s highest-ranked directional plays remain candidates until explicitly marked LOCKED; any locked cards shown here retain their immutable decision terms.

LEAN TRACKED — NOT OFFICIAL
BEST CURRENT BET · #1 NOT LOCKED OPEN BOX SCORE ↗
STATE INCOMPLETE EVIDENCE 5/6 MODEL OU_V2

TRACKED — NOT OFFICIAL: lineup

Kansas City Royals
AWAY
VS
Colorado Rockies
HOME
O/U LINE
OVER 11.5
BET SCORE 83.0
EDGE +0.96
DATA 3/6
BOOK TOTAL 11.5
MODEL TOTAL 12.5
LIVE MARKET DraftKings
QUOTE · UTC 6:05 PM
OVER · UNDER · PUSH 59.0 · 41.0 · 0.0%
95% RANGE 4.2–20.7
AI ADJUSTMENT +3.0
GAME TIME
8:10 PM ET
COUNTDOWN
Loading...
O/U AI BREAKDOWN
WEATHER +0.18 runs
PARK +0.19 runs
PITCHER +1.00 runs
AWAITING LIVE FEEDS
Bullpen Market movement

WHY THIS TOTAL

Tracked ranking — unavailable inputs: unconfirmed lineups.

ENVIRONMENT

Clear sky Played at Coors Field.

O/U MATH

  • Sportsbook Total:11.5
  • Model Total:12.5
  • Edge:+0.96
  • Weather:85°
  • Wind:5 mph
  • Park Factor:1.15
Bet Score: 83.0
LEAN TRACKED — NOT OFFICIAL
CURRENT CANDIDATE · #2 NOT LOCKED OPEN BOX SCORE ↗
STATE INCOMPLETE EVIDENCE 5/6 MODEL OU_V2

TRACKED — NOT OFFICIAL: lineup

Boston Red Sox
AWAY
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers
HOME
O/U LINE
UNDER 7.5
BET SCORE 76.1
EDGE -0.64
DATA 3/6
BOOK TOTAL 7.5
MODEL TOTAL 6.9
LIVE MARKET DraftKings
QUOTE · UTC 6:05 PM
OVER · UNDER · PUSH 43.9 · 56.1 · 0.0%
95% RANGE -1.4–15.1
AI ADJUSTMENT +1.0
GAME TIME
9:10 PM ET
COUNTDOWN
Loading...
O/U AI BREAKDOWN
WEATHER +0.18 runs
PARK -0.01 runs
PITCHER -1.08 runs
AWAITING LIVE FEEDS
Bullpen Market movement

WHY THIS TOTAL

Tracked ranking — unavailable inputs: unconfirmed lineups.

ENVIRONMENT

Clear sky Played at Dodger Stadium.

O/U MATH

  • Sportsbook Total:7.5
  • Model Total:6.9
  • Edge:-0.64
  • Weather:85°
  • Wind:1 mph
  • Park Factor:0.99
Bet Score: 76.1
WATCH TRACKED — NOT OFFICIAL
CURRENT CANDIDATE · #3 NOT LOCKED OPEN BOX SCORE ↗
STATE INCOMPLETE EVIDENCE 5/6 MODEL OU_V2

TRACKED — NOT OFFICIAL: lineup

Detroit Tigers
AWAY
VS
Athletics
HOME
O/U LINE
OVER 10.5
BET SCORE 74.8
EDGE +0.52
DATA 3/6
BOOK TOTAL 10.5
MODEL TOTAL 11.0
LIVE MARKET DraftKings
QUOTE · UTC 6:05 PM
OVER · UNDER · PUSH 54.9 · 45.1 · 0.0%
95% RANGE 2.8–19.2
AI ADJUSTMENT +1.0
GAME TIME
9:40 PM ET
COUNTDOWN
Loading...
O/U AI BREAKDOWN
WEATHER +0.19 runs
PARK +0.00 runs
PITCHER +0.55 runs
AWAITING LIVE FEEDS
Bullpen Market movement

WHY THIS TOTAL

Tracked ranking — unavailable inputs: unconfirmed lineups.

ENVIRONMENT

Scattered clouds Played at Sutter Health Park.

O/U MATH

  • Sportsbook Total:10.5
  • Model Total:11.0
  • Edge:+0.52
  • Weather:86°
  • Wind:2 mph
  • Park Factor:1.00
Bet Score: 74.8
AI Totals Learning Summary

O/U AI layer is active. Official O/U panels use mlb_top_bets for card metadata and exact game_id joins to ou_features and mlb_games for live scores and grading. Home and away orientation is taken from mlb_games and always displayed as away team followed by home team. Public performance includes every recorded official graded O/U pick. The previous-results board uses the most recent earlier O/U date, so league off-days and All-Star breaks do not produce an empty results panel. Average displayed official AI score: 66.7. AI calibration compares historical win rates across score bands using completed games only.

O/U Lock Rule

A ranked candidate is not a bet until it is marked LOCKED. The system checks each game 60–90 minutes before first pitch and locks only after every evidence and quality gate passes. Locked matchup, side, line, and rank never change; only the final WIN, LOSS, PUSH, or VOID result updates.

AI O/U LONG SHOT

❄️ Top Pick Long Shot

High-variance totals signal outside the official Top 6. Tracked separately from official O/U record.

O/U WATCH DOG LONG SHOT — NOT LOCKED

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners

Under 7.5
4:10 PM ET Lock TBD LIVE T-Mobile Park Overcast clouds

Modest Under support with favorable pitching. Tracked ranking — unavailable inputs: inputs incomplete.

OPEN
Minnesota Twins 0 - Seattle Mariners 0 (Total: 0)
BOX SCORE
Edge
-0.40
Current Odds
-120
Book Total
7.5
Model
7.1
Bet Score
74.2

PREVIOUS MLB GAMES: Friday, July 31, 2026

DAY MATCHUP PICK LOCK STATUS EDGE BET SCORE AI ADJ CONF RESULT SCORE
Jul 31
Arizona Diamondbacks
vs
Cleveland Guardians
Over 8.5 LOCKED +0.00 80.3 +0.0 54 LOSS Arizona Diamondbacks 4 - Cleveland Guardians 1
Jul 31
Miami Marlins
vs
New York Mets
Over 8.5 LOCKED +0.00 73.4 +0.0 54 LOSS Miami Marlins 5 - New York Mets 2
Jul 31
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
Toronto Blue Jays
Under 7.5 LOCKED +0.00 72.8 +0.0 54 WIN Toronto Blue Jays 3 - St. Louis Cardinals 1
MODEL VALIDATION

Bet Score Calibration

Bet Score V3 calibration starts July 26, 2026 so incompatible earlier score scales are not mixed. Pushes are excluded from win rate.

Last 30 DaysAll graded predictions
Bet Score Band Picks W L Push Win Rate
85-99 Strong 1 0 1 0
0.0%
75-84 Lean 8 1 7 0
12.5%
50-74 Watch 70 37 31 2
54.4%
Below 50 / Pass 2 1 1 0
50.0%
This MonthSince July 1
Bet Score Band Picks W L Push Win Rate
85-99 Strong 1 0 1 0
0.0%
75-84 Lean 8 1 7 0
12.5%
50-74 Watch 70 37 31 2
54.4%
Below 50 / Pass 2 1 1 0
50.0%
Official Top PicksLast 30 days
Bet Score Band Picks W L Push Win Rate
85-99 Strong 1 0 1 0
0.0%
75-84 Lean 4 0 4 0
0.0%
50-74 Watch 10 6 4 0
60.0%
Below 50 / Pass 0 0 0 0

Over / Under Performance

Running performance summary from graded official totals bets.
Score Version
Bet Score V3
V3 Record
6-10-0
Last 30 Win Rate
37.5%
Totals Board
15
Official O/U Bets
3
Win Rate
37.5%
OFFICIAL O/U SLIP

Parlay Ticket Builder

Uses the full board in ranked order and defaults to the top 3. Never chase losses.

SELECT # OF LEGS
▦ PARLAY TICKET
3 LEGS
ENTERED
TEAM MATCHUP
O/U PICK
LINE
1 KAN Kansas City Royals VS COL Colorado Rockies
OVER
11.5
2 BOS Boston Red Sox VS LOS Los Angeles Dodgers
UNDER
7.5
3 DET Detroit Tigers VS ATH Athletics
OVER
10.5
4 MIN Minnesota Twins VS SEA Seattle Mariners
UNDER
7.5
5 SAN San Francisco Giants VS SAN San Diego Padres
OVER
8.5
6 MIA Miami Marlins VS NEW New York Mets
UNDER
9.0
7 TEX Texas Rangers VS HOU Houston Astros
OVER
8.5
8 CHI Chicago White Sox VS TAM Tampa Bay Rays
UNDER
7.5
9 WAS Washington Nationals VS ATL Atlanta Braves
OVER
9.5
10 PHI Philadelphia Phillies VS BAL Baltimore Orioles
UNDER
8.5
11 NEW New York Yankees VS CHI Chicago Cubs
OVER
6.5
12 MIL Milwaukee Brewers VS LOS Los Angeles Angels
UNDER
8.5
13 ARI Arizona Diamondbacks VS CLE Cleveland Guardians
UNDER
8.5
14 ST. St. Louis Cardinals VS TOR Toronto Blue Jays
OVER
8.5
15 PIT Pittsburgh Pirates VS CIN Cincinnati Reds
OVER
8.5